대형마트의 폐점이 주택가격에 미치는 시·공간적 영향 : 대구시 이마트 시지점 사례를 대상으로 (Spatio-Temporal Impact of Large-Scale Retail Store Closure on Housing Price : A Case Study of E-Mart “Siji” Branch in Daegu, South Korea)

서지정보

· 발행기관 : 대한국토·도시계획학회
· 수록지 정보 : 국토계획 / 58권 / 6호 / 144 ~ 157페이지
· 저자명 : 이우탁, 성현곤

초록

국내에서는 대형마트의 폐점이 최근에 이루어지기 시작함에따라 이에 따른 주변 지역의 주택가격에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구가 거의 없을 뿐만 아니라 폐점 이전 단계부터 대체개발이 이루어진 이후의 동적인 시계열 효과를 다룬 실증연구가 국내외에서도 거의 없다. 또한, 대형마트의 폐점으로 인한 인근 주택가격에 미치는 확산의 공간적 효과는 그 접근 거리에 따라 차별적일수 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 대형마트의 폐점 이후 대체개발이 이루어진 대구시의 이마트 시지점을 대상으로 하여 폐점 발표 이전부터 대체개발 완료 이후까지 인근 주택의 가격에 미친 시공간적차별화 효과를 삼중차분법에 기반을 둔 다수준 헤도닉 선형회귀모형을 적용하여 실증하고자 한다.

영어초록

This study examines the spatio-temporal effects of the closure of a large-scale retail store on nearby housing prices, focusing on the case of the E-mart “Siji” branch located in Daegu, South Korea. The study utilizes real transaction apartment price data ranging from January 1, 2015, to February 2023, encompassing the period before the store closure announcement and the subsequent transformation of the site into an office-tel (integrated office and residence building).
To investigate the impact on housing prices, multilevel linear regression modeling based on the triple difference approach was employed. The analysis revealed a significant negative impact on housing prices, with reductions of up to 38.8% observed following the announcement of the store closure, indicative of a capitalization effect. Over time, the negative effects exhibited an increasing trend before being somewhat alleviated after the completion of the alternative development.
Nevertheless, the closure’s influence on housing prices in the neighboring areas remained considerable and even permanent. The study also found that the magnitude of the negative effect varied based on the distance from the closed large-scale retail store. The negative impact was more pronounced within a radius of 250 to 500 meters compared to the area within a 250-meter radius. Furthermore, the effect dissipated beyond the 500-meter radius. The findings underscore the significance of considering spillover effects resulting from such closures on the surrounding real estate market. They emphasize the necessity for strategic urban planning and policy interventions to effectively mitigate adverse impacts on housing prices in the vicinity of such large-scale retail store developments. Overall, this research sheds light on the intricate relationship between retail store closures and housing prices, providing valuable insights for policymakers, urban planners, and stakeholders seeking to understand and manage the dynamics of the real estate market in the context of such transformative events.

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