대규모 주택사업지구 청약경쟁률 결정모형 분석 - 1-3차 보금자리주택지구 사전예약을 대상으로 - (A Model for Application Rate to Large Scale Housing Development Project Area - Focused on the Advanced Reservation of 1-3th Bogeumjari Housing District -wave)

서지정보

· 발행기관 : 대한국토·도시계획학회
· 수록지 정보 : 국토계획 / 46권 / 4호 / 121 ~ 130페이지
· 저자명 : 김남주

초록

This paper presents a model for subscription rate to new housing development area using the actual reservation data of 13 Bogeumjari Housing Project Area developed in Korea. AHP analysis shows that applicants focused on price, transportation, location, identification, site planning in order, especially price and distance from subway. But in regression analysis, priorities are revealed in order as price or location, site planning, transportation, identification. Especially, price of new apartment sales compared to an existing one in surrounding areas is the most important, and the distance from Seoul downtown, distance from residential areas already developed and distance from main commercial facilities are also important. The effect of the distance from subway is not major, but the existing awareness and preference for the housing development area is considerably influential. And total number of household in the housing development area is negative for subscription rate, although not the critical one. This paper is expected to be helpful for planners in charge of the public housing projects to forecast housing sale ratio of new city, and choose the optimal housing project site and its planning in order to reduce the number of unsold houses.

영어초록

This paper presents a model for subscription rate to new housing development area using the actual reservation data of 13 Bogeumjari Housing Project Area developed in Korea. AHP analysis shows that applicants focused on price, transportation, location, identification, site planning in order, especially price and distance from subway. But in regression analysis, priorities are revealed in order as price or location, site planning, transportation, identification. Especially, price of new apartment sales compared to an existing one in surrounding areas is the most important, and the distance from Seoul downtown, distance from residential areas already developed and distance from main commercial facilities are also important. The effect of the distance from subway is not major, but the existing awareness and preference for the housing development area is considerably influential. And total number of household in the housing development area is negative for subscription rate, although not the critical one. This paper is expected to be helpful for planners in charge of the public housing projects to forecast housing sale ratio of new city, and choose the optimal housing project site and its planning in order to reduce the number of unsold houses.

참고자료

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