UK-ESM 기반 지역기후모델과 PRIDE 모델의 기온과 강수량에 대한 모의 특성 (Simulated Characteristics of Regional Climate Model and PRIDE Model Based on UK-ESM for Temperature and Precipitation)

서지정보

· 발행기관 : 건국대학교 기후연구소
· 수록지 정보 : 기후연구 / 15권 / 4호 / 297 ~ 310페이지
· 저자명 : 윤지현, 상정, 김맹기

초록

In this study, a high-resolution daily data set of surface weather were obtained from PRIDE(PRISMbased Dynamic downscaling Error correction) model for the period of 2000 to 2017 over South Korea. The simulation data of five RCM(Regional Climate Model) were also used which are forced by the CMIP6 participating model UK-ESM as the boundary condition under historical period (2000-2014) and SSP 5-8.5 period (2015-2017). Here we compared the RCM data and the PRIDE data with MK-PRISM data in terms of ensemble mean and ensemble spread. Results show that the PRIDE model effectively eliminates systematic error in the RCM up to 63.0% for daily average temperature, 72.2% for daily maximum temperature, 68.2% for daily minimum temperature, and 28.7% for daily precipitation when evaluated from the RMSE perspective. Overall, the ensemble spread of the PRIDE model is significantly decreased from 1.46°C to 0.36°C for daily temperature and from 2.0 mm/day to 0.72 mm/day for daily precipitation compared to the RCM ensemble spread, indicating that the largest systematic error of the RCMs is effectively removed in the PRIDE model.

영어초록

In this study, a high-resolution daily data set of surface weather were obtained from PRIDE(PRISMbased Dynamic downscaling Error correction) model for the period of 2000 to 2017 over South Korea. The simulation data of five RCM(Regional Climate Model) were also used which are forced by the CMIP6 participating model UK-ESM as the boundary condition under historical period (2000-2014) and SSP 5-8.5 period (2015-2017). Here we compared the RCM data and the PRIDE data with MK-PRISM data in terms of ensemble mean and ensemble spread. Results show that the PRIDE model effectively eliminates systematic error in the RCM up to 63.0% for daily average temperature, 72.2% for daily maximum temperature, 68.2% for daily minimum temperature, and 28.7% for daily precipitation when evaluated from the RMSE perspective. Overall, the ensemble spread of the PRIDE model is significantly decreased from 1.46°C to 0.36°C for daily temperature and from 2.0 mm/day to 0.72 mm/day for daily precipitation compared to the RCM ensemble spread, indicating that the largest systematic error of the RCMs is effectively removed in the PRIDE model.

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