흑사병과 중세 말기 유럽의 인구문제 (The Black Death and Europe’s Population in the Later Middle Ages)

서지정보

· 발행기관 : 한국서양사학회
· 수록지 정보 : 서양사론 / 93호 / 5 ~ 32페이지
· 저자명 : 박흥식

초록

This paper reviews the statistical data on the deaths caused by the Black Death, and explores issues related to estimation of the death rate. It has been held that there was population reduction by a third or a half due to the first outbreak of the Black Death regardless of the limitations and characteristics of statistics on population. This study reviews cases in England to analyze the characteristics of relevant documents, and explores major issues of European population based on that analysis.
Taking into consideration remaining documents and results of present studies, it will be difficult to derive reliable answers to how many people actually died from the first outbreak of the Black Death. To analyze the population decrease rate, epidemiological hypotheses and the mortality rate of the poor are issues to be reviewed. As it is not easy to calculate the mortality rate accurately, it is required to be cautious about estimates based on incomplete data. In conclusion, as the foundation to calculate the total population and death rate of Europe at the time of the outbreak of the Black Death is very weak, it is difficult to trust estimates based on such foundation.

영어초록

This paper reviews the statistical data on the deaths caused by the Black Death, and explores issues related to estimation of the death rate. It has been held that there was population reduction by a third or a half due to the first outbreak of the Black Death regardless of the limitations and characteristics of statistics on population. This study reviews cases in England to analyze the characteristics of relevant documents, and explores major issues of European population based on that analysis.
Taking into consideration remaining documents and results of present studies, it will be difficult to derive reliable answers to how many people actually died from the first outbreak of the Black Death. To analyze the population decrease rate, epidemiological hypotheses and the mortality rate of the poor are issues to be reviewed. As it is not easy to calculate the mortality rate accurately, it is required to be cautious about estimates based on incomplete data. In conclusion, as the foundation to calculate the total population and death rate of Europe at the time of the outbreak of the Black Death is very weak, it is difficult to trust estimates based on such foundation.

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