기후 요소가 관광·레저 활동 유형별 수요에 미치는 영향 (Climate factors and tourism-leisure demand: Differentiated effects by activity type)

서지정보

· 발행기관 : 한국기후변화학회
· 수록지 정보 : 한국기후변화학회지 / 16권 / 2호 / 227 ~ 241페이지
· 저자명 : 임정민

초록

This study examines the impacts of climate factors on tourism and leisure demand, while distinguishing between indoor and outdoor activities, as well as major types of activities. Using a panel dataset covering major tourism and leisure sites in South Korea from 2015 to 2018, this study employs a Poisson fixed effects model to analyze how various climate variables influence monthly visitor numbers. To develop a more sophisticated climate-tourism demand function, the analysis incorporates not only basic weather variables (e.g., temperature) but also extreme climate indicators. The results indicate that precipitation, extreme heat, and extreme cold significantly reduce tourism demand, with outdoor activities being more vulnerable to adverse weather conditions than indoor activities. Conversely, an increase in the average minimum temperature positively affects visitor numbers, suggesting that moderate warming could enhance overall tourism and leisure demand in Korea. This study also assesses the differential impact of climate conditions on four major types of tourism and leisure destinations: ski resorts, water parks, golf courses, and national parks. Specifically, ski resorts and water parks exhibit positive responses to extreme cold and heat due to their seasonal demand, while golf courses and national parks are more negatively affected by adverse climate conditions. With climate change expected to alter seasonal patterns and increase temperature variability, the findings underscore the need for climate-resilient tourism policies and region-specific adaptation strategies, including adaptive infrastructure and diverse seasonal tourism offerings. Policymakers should adopt strategies that mitigate climate risks while leveraging opportunities from longer tourism seasons due to rising temperatures. This study contributes to the growing literature on climate-tourism interactions and provides practical knowledge for sustainable and resilient tourism development in a changing climate.

영어초록

This study examines the impacts of climate factors on tourism and leisure demand, while distinguishing between indoor and outdoor activities, as well as major types of activities. Using a panel dataset covering major tourism and leisure sites in South Korea from 2015 to 2018, this study employs a Poisson fixed effects model to analyze how various climate variables influence monthly visitor numbers. To develop a more sophisticated climate-tourism demand function, the analysis incorporates not only basic weather variables (e.g., temperature) but also extreme climate indicators. The results indicate that precipitation, extreme heat, and extreme cold significantly reduce tourism demand, with outdoor activities being more vulnerable to adverse weather conditions than indoor activities. Conversely, an increase in the average minimum temperature positively affects visitor numbers, suggesting that moderate warming could enhance overall tourism and leisure demand in Korea. This study also assesses the differential impact of climate conditions on four major types of tourism and leisure destinations: ski resorts, water parks, golf courses, and national parks. Specifically, ski resorts and water parks exhibit positive responses to extreme cold and heat due to their seasonal demand, while golf courses and national parks are more negatively affected by adverse climate conditions. With climate change expected to alter seasonal patterns and increase temperature variability, the findings underscore the need for climate-resilient tourism policies and region-specific adaptation strategies, including adaptive infrastructure and diverse seasonal tourism offerings. Policymakers should adopt strategies that mitigate climate risks while leveraging opportunities from longer tourism seasons due to rising temperatures. This study contributes to the growing literature on climate-tourism interactions and provides practical knowledge for sustainable and resilient tourism development in a changing climate.

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