수급모형을 이용한 양식넙치의 생산 및 출하조절 효과분석
(주)코리아스칼라
- 최초 등록일
- 2023.04.05
- 최종 저작일
- 2016.12
- 11페이지/ 어도비 PDF
- 가격 4,200원
* 본 문서는 배포용으로 복사 및 편집이 불가합니다.
서지정보
ㆍ발행기관 : 한국수산경영학회
ㆍ수록지정보 : 水産經營論集 / 47권 / 4호
ㆍ저자명 : 고봉현
영어 초록
The purpose of this study was to analyze the production and marketing control effects of aqua-cultured flounder required for stable income growth of aqua-cultured household. We analyzed the supply and demand structure of cultured flounder using the partial equilibrium model approach. And we estimated the optimal yield of cultured flounder and analyzed the effect of marketing control through constructed model. The main results of this study are summarized as follows. First, the fitness and predictive power of the estimated model showed that the RMSPE and MAPE values were less than 5% and Theil’s inequality coefficient was very close to 0 rather than 1. It was evaluated that the prediction ability of the aqua-cultured flounder supply and demand model by dynamic simulation was excellent. Second, dynamic simulation based on policy simulation was conducted to analyze the price increase effect of production and shipment control of cultured flounder. As a result, if the annual production volume is reduced by 1%, 5%, and 10% among 32,852〜37,520 tons, it is analyzed that the price increase effect is from 1.2% to 12.5%. Finally, this study suggests that the production and marketing control can increase the price of aqua-cultured flounder in the market. In this paper, we propose a policy implementation of the total supply system instead of conclusions.
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